August 03, 2025 a 10:15 am

UPS: Fibonacci Analysis - United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc. remains a dominant player in the logistics and courier industry, providing services across domestic and international markets. Despite recent gains, technical analysis reveals some areas of caution as the stock faces potential resistance after a notable price downswing. The last few months have seen significant price adjustments, providing a potential setup for trend continuation or reversal based on key levels.

Fibonacci Analysis

Period High Low
2024-11-24 to 2025-08-01 $138.35 on 2024-10-24 $84.5 on 2025-08-01
Fibonacci Level Price
0.236 $97.37
0.382 $106.18
0.5 $111.43
0.618 $116.68
0.786 $124.11

The current price of $84.5 is below all major Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating that the stock is not in a retracement zone but rather in a continued downward trend. The area around $97.37 could offer preliminary support, whereas stronger resistance might be faced around the higher retracement levels.

Stock chart of UPS

Conclusion

UPS's recent downtrend suggests cautious optimism for investors. While the current price is significantly off its highs, failing to find support at key Fibonacci levels points to potential continued weakness or volatility. Analysts should expect potential bouncebacks near the lower Fibonacci retracement levels, which could act as short-term support. However, without substantive buying interest, a trend reversal might not be imminent. Evaluating shipment volumes, global economic recovery, and consumer demand will be paramount in short to mid-term predictions.