Treasury bonds

US ISM Manufactoring vs US 10Y Yield

The indicator shows the US ISM Manufatoring economic indicator compared to the 10Y US Treasury bond.

In a long-term comparison, a correlation can be seen in which the ISM often (not always) runs ahead of the 10Y US Treasury as the leading indicator.

US ISM Manufactoring vs US 10Y Yield

Copper/Gold Ratio vs US 10Y Yield

The indicator shows the Copper/Gold Ratio compared to the 10Y US Treasury Bond.

In a long-term comparison, a correlation can be seen where the Copper/Gold Ratio often (not always) runs ahead of the 10Y US Treasury as the leading indicator.

Copper/Gold Ratio vs US 10Y Yield

US Yield Curve (10Y-12M) vs US Treasury Yield

The US Yield Curve is composed of the prices of government bonds with different maturities. The indicator calculates the value, which is obtained by subtracting the amount of 10Y bonds with the amount of 1Y government bonds.

If this value is negative, it is a special situation, because it means that short-term borrowing of money is more expensive than long-term borrowing of money. In the past, when this result occurred, with a 100% hit rate, there was a recession in the U.S. in the next few months.

US Yield Curve (10Y-12M) vs US Treasury Yield

US Yield Curve (10Y-12M) vs S%P 500 index

US FED Balances Sheet vs SP500 Index

The US Yield Curve is composed of the prices of government bonds with different maturities. The indicator calculates the value, which is obtained by subtracting the amount of 10Y bonds with the amount of 1Y government bonds.

If this value is negative, it is a special situation, because it means that short-term borrowing of money is more expensive than long-term borrowing of money. In the past, when this result occurred, with a 100% hit rate, there was a recession in the U.S. in the next few months.

US FED Balances Sheet vs SP500 Index

 

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