July 31, 2025 a 07:00 pm
Todays Important Key Figures
Today's economic indicators showcase diverse trends across major currencies, reflecting varied economic conditions. The data reveals nuances in manufacturing, inflation, unemployment, and consumer confidence, each setting the tone for their respective currencies. The impact of these indicators on currency strength and market confidence will unfold as markets digest this information.
💵 United States Dollar (USD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/26) | 2025-07-31 12:30:00 | 217K | 218K | 224K | 1K | High |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jul/19) | 2025-07-31 12:30:00 | 1,946K | 1,946K | 1,960K | 0 | High |
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jun) | 2025-07-31 12:30:00 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | ⬆️ 0.1% | High |
| Personal Income MoM (Jun) | 2025-07-31 12:30:00 | -0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | ⬆️ 0.7% | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jul/26) | 2025-07-31 12:30:00 | 224.5K | 221K | 226K | ⬇️ -3.5K | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: The decline in the 4-week average jobless claims reflects a resilient labor market, supporting economic recovery. However, the slight increase in initial claims suggests pockets of weakness. The stable continuing claims are a positive signal for ongoing employment trends.
📈 USD Impact: Mixed signals but overall stability can support USD strength as markets view these as supporting a recovery.
💶 Euro (EUR)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY (Jul) - DE | 2025-07-31 12:00:00 | 2% | 2% | 1.9% | 0% | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (May) - GR | 2025-07-31 09:00:00 | 7.4% | -5.6% | 6.3% | ⬇️ -13% | High |
| Unemployment Rate (Jun) - EU | 2025-07-31 09:00:00 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 0% | High |
| Hesse CPI MoM (Jul) - DE | 2025-07-31 08:00:00 | 0.1% | 0.3% | - | ⬆️ 0.2% | High |
| Employment Change (Jul) - DE | 2025-07-31 07:55:00 | 10K | 2K | 15K | ⬇️ -8K | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: Eurozone inflation remains stable, but the sharp decline in Greek retail sales indicates consumer weakness. Employment figures in Germany are disappointing, which may influence ECB policies.
📉 EUR Impact: The mixed data with weak employment figures may pose challenges for the euro, potentially weakening it.
💷 Chinese Yuan (CNY)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 2025-08-01 01:45:00 | 50.4 | - | 50.2 | - | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: PMI remains above 50, indicating expansion, yet a lower estimate suggests a potential slowdown in manufacturing activity.
⚠️ CNY Impact: Uncertainty may slightly weigh on the yuan if the actual figure is below expectations.
💴 Japanese Yen (JPY)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Confidence (Jul) | 2025-07-31 05:00:00 | 34.5 | 33.7 | 35.1 | ⬇️ -0.8 | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: Decline in consumer confidence indicates waning consumer sentiment, potentially hindering spending and economic growth.
📉 JPY Impact: Weak consumer confidence could put pressure on the yen as economic prospects seem subdued.
🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales YoY (Jun) | 2025-07-31 06:30:00 | 0.3% | 3.8% | 0.2% | ⬆️ 3.5% | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Jun) | 2025-07-31 06:30:00 | -0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | ⬆️ 1.9% | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: Robust retail sales suggest strong domestic demand and potential economic vitality in Switzerland.
✅ CHF Impact: Positive retail sales data typically strengthens the Swiss Franc due to increased economic confidence.
🇦🇺 Australian Dollar (AUD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 2025-07-31 23:00:00 | 50.6 | - | 51.6 | - | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: A higher PMI estimate suggests potential growth in the manufacturing sector, indicating a healthy economic environment.
📈 AUD Impact: An actual PMI figure meeting or exceeding the estimate could boost the Australian dollar, attracting foreign investment.
🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales YoY (Jun) | 2025-07-31 06:30:00 | 0.3% | 3.8% | 0.2% | ⬆️ 3.5% | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Jun) | 2025-07-31 06:30:00 | -0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | ⬆️ 1.9% | High |
🗣️ Interpretation: Robust retail sales suggest strong domestic demand and potential economic vitality in Switzerland.
✅ CHF Impact: Positive retail sales data typically strengthens the Swiss Franc due to increased economic confidence.
🔚 Conclusion
The current data portrays a complex economic landscape. For USD, signals depict resilience, supporting currency stability. EUR faces challenges, primarily from weak employment data, which could impede its strength. Positive retail sales fuel CHF optimism, and AUD's potential manufacturing growth might bolster the currency. JPY faces pressure due to declining consumer confidence. Overall, today's figures present a nuanced mix of supportive and challenging data for each currency.