September 29, 2025 a 11:01 pm
Todays Important Key Figures 📊
As we delve into today's key economic indicators, it becomes evident that markets are in anticipation mode regarding the release of crucial data across various economies. The eurozone, especially Germany, anticipates key inflation figures, whereas the United States will be focused on job openings, providing insight into labor market sentiment. Meanwhile, Japan and Australia await influential manufacturing and interest rate data, respectively, potentially shaping monetary policy expectations.
Japanese Yen (JPY) 💴
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q3) | 2025-09-30 23:50:00 | 13 | 15 | — | High |
- The Tankan Index's improvement is crucial for gauging business sentiment in Japan. An increase signals growing confidence among large manufacturers, potentially boosting economic growth.
- This could have a positive effect on the JPY as it signals economic stability and growth.
Australian Dollar (AUD) 💵
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-09-30 23:00:00 | 53 | 51.6 | — | High |
| RBA Interest Rate Decision | 2025-09-30 04:30:00 | 3.6% | 3.6% | — | High |
- The PMI suggests that manufacturing activity might be slowing down if the estimate holds true, which could dampen economic prospects.
- The RBA's steady interest rate reflects a wait-and-see approach amidst global economic uncertainty.
- Overall, the AUD might face pressure if manufacturing data indicates slower growth.
US Dollar (USD) 💵
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Unit | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOLTs Job Openings (Aug) | 2025-09-30 14:00:00 | 7.181M | 7.1M | — | M | High |
- A lower number of job openings could indicate a cooling labor market, impacting economic momentum and potentially easing inflation pressures.
- Such a scenario could weaken the USD as it might influence the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
Euro (EUR) 💶
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (Sep) - Germany | 2025-09-30 12:00:00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | High |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Sep) - Germany | 2025-09-30 12:00:00 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | High |
| Employment Change (Sep) - Germany | 2025-09-30 07:55:00 | -9K | 7K | — | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) - Germany | 2025-09-30 06:00:00 | -1.5% | 0.5% | — | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Aug) - Germany | 2025-09-30 06:00:00 | 1.9% | 2.2% | — | High |
- Stable or decreasing inflation may alleviate ECB's need for aggressive policy changes, stabilizing economic outlook.
- Improved employment figures and retail sales could bolster economic growth expectations.
- The EUR could strengthen if data points to economic resilience and improvement.
British Pound (GBP) 💷
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q2) | 2025-09-30 06:00:00 | 1.3% | 1.2% | — | High |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q2) | 2025-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.7% | 0.3% | — | High |
- A slowdown in GDP growth could signal waning economic momentum, impacting future economic policies.
- The GBP might experience downward pressure if growth indicators fall short of expectations.
Conclusion 🔚
The current economic indicators suggest a mixed outlook across major currencies. The EUR and AUD data hold potential for support, especially with expected improvements in employment and stability in interest rates. Conversely, USD and GBP might face headwinds depending on labor and GDP figures. Market participants should remain vigilant as these data releases unfold, given their significant impacts on currency stability and investor sentiment.