September 18, 2025 a 11:00 pm
📊 Todays Important Key Figures
Today, we observe significant economic releases from both Canada and the United Kingdom. Retail sales data for both countries is expected to show varying degrees of performance compared to previous periods. Analysts and investors will closely monitor these figures as they can impact currency valuations. The market sentiment hinges on the anticipated data, and deviations from expectations may drive volatility in the currency markets.
💵 Canadian Dollar (CAD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul) | 2025-09-19 12:30:00 | 1.9% | -0.7% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Jul) | 2025-09-19 12:30:00 | 1.5% | -0.8% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Jul) | 2025-09-19 12:30:00 | 6.6% | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-19 12:30:00 | N/A | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | High |
🗣️ Economic Interpretation: The Canadian retail sales data indicates potential weaknesses as the estimates are largely negative or low. This signals potential slowing in consumer spending, which could weigh on economic growth.
📉 Impact on CAD: Negative or lower-than-expected retail sales figures could exert downward pressure on the CAD, as the market might anticipate subdued economic momentum.
💷 British Pound (GBP)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-19 06:00:00 | 0.5% | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-19 06:00:00 | 1.3% | 0.8% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-19 06:00:00 | 0.6% | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-19 06:00:00 | 1.1% | 0.6% | N/A | N/A | High |
🗣️ Economic Interpretation: The data for the UK is also showing reduced estimates, which suggests a potential deceleration in retail activities. This may highlight cautious consumer behavior amid economic uncertainties.
📉 Impact on GBP: Lower retail sales estimates are likely to pose challenges for the GBP, laying the groundwork for potential depreciation if actuals fail to outperform expectations.
🔚 Conclusion
The economic data for today appears predominantly negative for both the CAD and the GBP. The outlook remains challenging and today's figures could be more of a burden than a support for these currencies, subject to confirmation by actual data releases.