September 16, 2025 a 07:00 pm
Todays Important Key Figures
Today's key figures bring a complex mix of economic insights. The U.S. reports stronger than expected retail sales, which could boost the USD. Meanwhile, Canada's inflation aligns with expectations, offering moderate relief. The Eurozone's economic sentiment shows unexpected optimism, potentially strengthening the EUR. In Japan, trade data remains awaited but could induce volatility in the JPY. The UK's employment figures are slightly weaker, posing challenges for the GBP.
💵 United States Dollar (USD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 4.1% | 5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 0.3% | 0.7% | -0.1% | 0.4% | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | High |
- The unexpected strength in retail sales indicates robust consumer spending, a positive sign for the U.S. economy.
- This data is likely to support the USD, potentially leading to an appreciation in the currency market.
💶 Euro (EUR)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep) | 2025-09-16 09:00:00 | 34.7 | 37.3 | 26.3 | 2.6 | High |
- The increase in economic sentiment indicates growing optimism among investors and analysts.
- This could positively impact the EUR, enhancing its strength against other currencies.
💷 Pound Sterling (GBP)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Employment Change (Jul) | 2025-09-16 06:00:00 | 239K | 232K | 220K | -7K | High |
| Unemployment Rate (Jul) | 2025-09-16 06:00:00 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0% | High |
- The stable unemployment rate paired with a minor decline in employment change suggests a slowdown in job growth.
- This could exert downward pressure on the GBP.
💵 Canadian Dollar (CAD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 3.1% | 3% | 3% | -0.1% | High |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-16 12:30:00 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2% | 0.2% | High |
- The inflation figures suggest stability, with a slight uptick in the year-on-year rate.
- This stability may lend some support to the CAD.
💴 Japanese Yen (JPY)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade (Aug) | 2025-09-16 23:50:00 | -118.4B | — | -513.6B | — | High |
- The anticipated trade deficit could signal difficulties for the Japanese economy if confirmed.
- An increasing deficit is likely to weaken the JPY.
🔚 Conclusion
The overall data reflects mixed economic conditions with significant currency fluctuations expected. Strong retail sales data supports the USD, while positive sentiment lifts the EUR. The CAD remains stable, though slightly pressured. The GBP's outlook is less favorable amid employment concerns, while the JPY awaits potentially adverse trade data. Collectively, the figures today are largely supportive of the USD and EUR, while posing challenges for the GBP and JPY.