Today's economic releases are poised to provide critical insights into the health and trajectory of major economies, particularly the US, Germany, and the UK. With key indicators such as manufacturing indices and GDP figures due, market participants will closely scrutinize these numbers to gauge potential shifts. A high impact is expected on currency valuations, as traders interpret these data points.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jan) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | -3.9 | 1 | High | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | High | ||||
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | High | ||||
| Retail Sales YoY (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | High | ||||
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/10) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 211.75K | 215 | High | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/10) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 208K | 215K | High | ||
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/03) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 1914K | 1890K | High | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | High |
🗣️ The US economic indicators today focus heavily on consumer activity and job market health. The manufacturing index's improvement could signal recovery, while stable jobless claims suggest a steady labor market. Implications for the USD depend on actual data; improvements might support the USD, while disappointments could weigh heavily.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Year GDP Growth (2026) | 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | -0.2% | 0.2% | High | ||
| Full Year GDP Growth (2025) | 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | -0.2% | 0.2% | High |
🗣️ Germany's GDP figures are pivotal for the eurozone's largest economy, with anticipated growth setting a positive tone. Any deviations can influence the euro, with growth potentially strengthening the EUR, while stagnation or decline may exert pressure.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | 1.1% | 1.1% | High | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -10.26B | -9.1B | High | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -22.54B | -20.4B | High | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -0.1% | 0.1% | High |
🗣️ The UK's economic releases, particularly GDP and trade balances, are critical for assessing economic resilience. Expected improvements in GDP and trade could bolster the GBP, but poor performance might limit gains.
The current economic figures bear significant potential impact across different currencies. The anticipated improvements in the Eurozone and the UK's indicators could offer temporary support to the EUR and GBP, respectively. Meanwhile, the USD's outlook hinges on actual data aligning with optimistic forecasts. The key will be to monitor these developments closely for decisive trends in the forex market.