Today's economic data releases present a mixed picture across major economies. The US job market shows signs of improvement with declining jobless claims, while manufacturing is rebounding. In Europe, Germany's GDP estimates for 2025 signal recovery, and the UK's trade balance improves slightly, alongside a positive GDP performance.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jan/03) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 1903K | 1884K | 1890K | -19K | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jan/10) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 207K | 198K | 215K | -9K | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jan/10) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | 211.5K | 205K | 215K | -6.5K | High |
| NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jan) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | -3.7 | 7.7 | 1 | 11.4 | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | - | - | - | - | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-15 13:30:00 | - | - | - | - | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Year GDP Growth (2025) | 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | -0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | High |
| Full Year GDP Growth (2026) | 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | -0.2% | - | 0.2% | - | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goods Trade Balance (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -24.17B | -23.71B | -20.4B | 0.46B | High |
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -11.81B | -11.46B | -9.1B | 0.35B | High |
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | High |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Nov) | 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | High |