August 15, 2025 a 07:00 pm
📊 Todays Important Key Figures
Today's economic indicators reveal a mixed outlook for the US economy. While the consumer sentiment has declined, indicating potential cautiousness among consumers, retail sales have not met the estimates, suggesting weakened consumer spending. However, manufacturing data provides an unexpected positive twist. Market participants should brace for potential volatility in the USD as a result.
💵 USD - United States Dollar
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug) | 2025-08-15 14:00:00 | 61.7 | 58.6 | 62 | -3.1 | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Jul) | 2025-08-15 12:30:00 | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | -0.5% | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Jul) | 2025-08-15 12:30:00 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | -0.4% | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul) | 2025-08-15 12:30:00 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | -0.6% | High |
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul) | 2025-08-15 12:30:00 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.5% | High |
| NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug) | 2025-08-15 12:30:00 | 5.5 | 11.9 | 1 | 6.4 | High |
- Economic Interpretation: The weakening consumer sentiment illustrates increased caution in the consumer sector, which could dampen economic activity. Declining retail sales figures further support this notion of subdued consumer demand. Conversely, the positive manufacturing index suggests resilience in the industrial sector.
- Currency Impact: The decline in consumer sentiment and retail sales figures may exert downward pressure on the USD. However, a surprisingly strong manufacturing index could provide some support.
🔚 Conclusion
Overall, the current figures present a rather conflicting view on the USD. The weaker consumer sentiment and retail sales are somewhat burdensome for the currency, yet the upbeat manufacturing index might support the USD in the short term. Market participants are advised to monitor further developments closely.