Today's key economic indicators reveal significant insights into the macroeconomic landscape affecting major currencies such as the US Dollar (USD) and Chinese Yuan (CNY). While some indicators are yet to be released, the current available data provides a basis for understanding both domestic and international economic activity. The focus today is on inflation, home sales, and trade balance, which bear significant implications for currency movements and economic policy decisions.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | 324.12 | 324.05 | 323.8 | -0.07 | High |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0 | High |
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0 | High |
| Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | -- | 0.3% | 0.3% | -- | High |
| CPI s.a (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | 325.031 | 326.03 | 325.7 | 0.999 | High |
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 2026-01-13 13:30:00 | -- | 0.2% | 0.3% | -- | High |
| New Home Sales (Dec) | 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 800K | -- | 710K | -- | High |
| New Home Sales (Oct) | 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 0.738M | 0.737M | 0.72M | -0.001 | High |
| New Home Sales (Sep) | 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 0.711M | 0.738M | 0.72M | 0.027 | High |
🗣️ The CPI and Inflation Rate data suggest a steady inflationary environment. The high impact implies that any deviation from expectations could heavily influence the currency markets. Home sales data, though mixed, is crucial for understanding consumer demand and housing market health.
In terms of currency impact, stable inflation is generally supportive of the USD; however, any underperformance in housing data could introduce volatility.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imports YoY (Dec) | 2026-01-14 03:00:00 | 1.9% | -- | 0.9% | -- | High |
| Exports YoY (Dec) | 2026-01-14 03:00:00 | 5.9% | -- | 3% | -- | High |
🗣️ The anticipated slowdown in both imports and exports indicates potential softening in global demand and supply chain adjustments. This could influence monetary policy and trade negotiations.
For the CNY, weaker trade data may exert downward pressure, especially if supported by a weakening in global growth outlook.
✅ The USD's outlook remains relatively supportive with stable inflation, albeit housing data needs attention. ⚠️ For the CNY, today's numbers could be seen as burdensome due to sluggish trade figures, impacting the currency's strength moving forward.