June 12, 2025 a 07:00 pm
Todays Important Key Figures
Today we observe key economic figures from the US, EU, and UK, each with significant potential impacts on their respective currencies. Most notably, the US is publishing data related to employment, while the UK presents concerning figures in terms of GDP and trade balance. As investors digest these numbers, we can expect potential volatility in the forex markets. Let’s dive deeper into each currency's data and its implications.
📊 United States Dollar (USD)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Note Auction | 2025-06-12 18:00:00 | 4.342% | — | — | — | High |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (May/31) | 2025-06-12 12:30:00 | 1902K | 1956K | 1910K | 54K | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jun/07) | 2025-06-12 12:30:00 | 235.25K | 240.25K | 237K | 5K | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jun/07) | 2025-06-12 12:30:00 | 248K | 248K | 240K | 0K | High |
| Producer Price Index MoM (May) | 2025-06-12 12:30:00 | -0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | High |
- 🗣️ The increase in jobless claims may signal potential weakness in the labor market, impacting consumer confidence and spending power.
- 📈 The modest rise in PPI suggests some inflationary pressures, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policies.
- 💵 Overall, these numbers could exert downward pressure on the USD if perceived negatively by investors.
💶 Euro (EUR)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB Guindos Speech | 2025-06-12 12:00:00 | — | — | — | — | High |
- 🗣️ Any indication from the ECB on future monetary policy directions or economic assessments could drive volatility in the Euro.
- 💶 No numerical data means that interpretations will heavily rely on the speech's content and its reception by markets.
💷 British Pound (GBP)
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Apr) | 2025-06-12 06:00:00 | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.5% | High |
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Apr) | 2025-06-12 06:00:00 | -6.83B | -8.65B | -7.3B | -1.82B | High |
| Goods Trade Balance (Apr) | 2025-06-12 06:00:00 | -19.87B | -23.21B | -20.5B | -3.34B | High |
- 📉 The decline in GDP and worsening trade balance figures indicate economic contraction, which may pressure the Bank of England to reconsider its monetary strategy.
- 💷 These negative indicators are likely to burden the GBP, as they suggest economic challenges.
🔚 Conclusion
✅ Today's figures present mixed signals for the USD, with job losses causing concern but inflation pressures possibly leading to policy shifts. The impact on the EUR depends on ECB comments, while the GBP faces downward pressure from underwhelming economic data. Overall, the data is more burdening for GBP, while USD and EUR outcomes depend on investor sentiment.