Today's economic figures bring significant insights into the current standing and potential direction of key global economies. With a focus on the European and US economies, the released data could impact currency valuations notably. As central banks weigh monetary policy decisions and inflation figures come into focus, markets are poised for potential volatility. Let's delve into the numbers and explore the possibilities.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB Press Conference | 2025-09-11 12:45:00 | โ | โ | โ | โ | High |
| ECB Interest Rate Decision | 2025-09-11 12:15:00 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | 0 | High |
| Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) | 2025-09-11 12:15:00 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0 | High |
The eurozone's interest rates remain unchanged, indicating a steady approach by the ECB amidst current economic conditions. This stability could support the euro if the press conference suggests resilience in economic fundamentals. However, watch for any dovish leaning that might pressure the currency.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% | High |
| CPI s.a (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 322.132 | 323.364 | 323 | 1.232 | High |
| CPI (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 323.05 | 323.98 | 323.89 | 0.93 | High |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Aug/30) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 1939K | 1939K | 1950K | 0 | High |
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0 | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Sep/06) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 230.75K | 240.5K | 232K | 9.75K | High |
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0 | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Sep/06) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 236K | 263K | 235K | 27K | High |
| Inflation Rate MoM (Aug) | 2025-09-11 12:30:00 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | High |
US inflation figures came in higher than expected, which may pressure the Federal Reserve towards a more hawkish stance. This could bolster the USD as markets anticipate potential rate hikes. However, the rising jobless claims introduce a complex dynamic, indicating potential headwinds in the labor market.
The latest data suggests a nuanced outlook for these major currencies. For the euro, the steady ECB stance is supportive, while the US figures present a mixed but potentially bullish case for the dollar. Overall, the current figures offer a supportive scenario for the USD, given inflationary pressures, while the euro remains broadly steady.