January 09, 2026 a 07:00 pm
📊 Todays Important Key Figures
Today's economic indicators reveal a mixed picture across major global currencies. The U.S. economy shows signs of resilience with improving consumer sentiment but challenges with lower non-farm payrolls. European metrics highlight slightly higher retail figures but a concerning trade balance. Each currency faces its distinct set of pressures and opportunities that will shape short-term forex market movements.
💵 USD Analysis
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jan) | 2026-01-09 15:00:00 | 52.9 | 54 | 53.5 | 1.1 | High |
| Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | -0.1% | High |
| U-6 Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | -0.3% | High |
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 50K | 37K | 64K | -13K | High |
| Non Farm Payrolls (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 56K | 50K | 60K | -6K | High |
| Housing Starts (Sep) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 1.291M | 1.306M | 1.33M | 0.015M | High |
| Housing Starts (Oct) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 1.306M | 1.246M | 1.33M | -0.06M | High |
🗣️ Interpretation and Currency Impact:
- The rise in consumer sentiment suggests increased consumer confidence, likely bolstering USD value.
- The slight decrease in unemployment indicates improving labor markets, supporting the dollar.
- However, weaker non-farm payrolls may dampen economic growth expectations, potentially weighing on the USD.
- Overall, mixed housing data shows some volatility remains in real estate activity, adding uncertainty to USD strength.
💶 EUR Analysis
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM (Nov) | 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.1% | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Nov) | 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | High |
| Balance of Trade (Nov) | 2026-01-09 07:00:00 | 17.2B | 13.1B | 16.5B | -4.1B | High |
🗣️ Interpretation and Currency Impact:
- Retail sales improvement shows growing consumer spending but remains below expectations.
- The significant drop in the trade balance may suggest weakness in export markets, likely pressuring the EUR.
- While sales are somewhat supportive, the trade data could overshadow retail improvements, leading to EUR volatility.
💷 CHF Analysis
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 2026-01-09 08:00:00 | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% | High |
🗣️ Interpretation and Currency Impact:
- A rise in the unemployment rate suggests labor market slack, potentially impacting consumer confidence.
- This trend may weigh on the Swiss Franc (CHF), reducing its appeal as a safe-haven currency.
💵 CAD Analysis
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 0.3% | High |
| Employment Change (Dec) | 2026-01-09 13:30:00 | 53.6K | 8.2K | -5K | -45.4K | High |
🗣️ Interpretation and Currency Impact:
- The rising unemployment rate and weak employment change indicate possible contractions in the labor market.
- These factors could weigh negatively on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), posing challenges for economic growth.
🔚 Conclusion
✅ USD: Mixed data showcases resilience with positive consumer sentiment but labor market concerns; overall, supportive.
⚠️ EUR: Retail supports growth yet a declining trade balance burdens; moderately negative outlook.
⚠️ CHF: Rising unemployment suggests caution and potential currency weakness.
⚠️ CAD: Labor market softness indicates possible economic challenges ahead, with a negative impact on CAD strength.