Today's economic releases exhibit critical patterns across various currencies, with significant impacts noted. The U.S. job market remains robust as indicated by the jobless claims data, while the Eurozone's retail sector displays mixed signals with improved annual sales but a monthly decline. Meanwhile, Canada's PMI indicates contraction, reflecting potential economic headwinds.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB Guindos Speech | 2025-12-04 18:00:00 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Oct) | 2025-12-04 10:00:00 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Oct) | 2025-12-04 10:00:00 | 0.1% | 0% | 0.1% | -0.1% | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Nov/22) | 2025-12-04 13:30:00 | 1943K | 1939K | 1960K | -4K | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Nov/29) | 2025-12-04 13:30:00 | 218K | 191K | 220K | -27K | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Nov/29) | 2025-12-04 13:30:00 | 224.25K | 214.75K | 225K | -9.5K | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (Nov) | 2025-12-04 09:30:00 | 3.4% | 3.4% | N/A | 0% | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| procure.ch Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 2025-12-04 08:30:00 | 48.2 | 49.7 | 48.5 | 1.5 | High |
| Unemployment Rate (Nov) | 2025-12-04 08:00:00 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | High |
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivey PMI s.a (Nov) | 2025-12-04 15:00:00 | 52.4 | 48.4 | 53.6 | -4 | High |
Today's data present a diverse economic landscape. The USD appears supported by positive labor market data, while CAD faces pressure from contracting PMI figures. The EUR and CHF exhibit mixed economic indicators leading to uncertain short-term impacts. The GBP remains neutral with steady inflation. Overall, the results are slightly supportive for USD and CHF, while bearish for CAD, with EUR and GBP showing neutral to mixed signals.