Today's economic indicators present significant developments, mainly with impactful data releases from the US, EU, AU, and beyond. Key metrics will help analyze current trends in global markets, with particular attention to manufacturing PMIs and trade balances. The current figures provide a complex picture of macroeconomic conditions across regions.
As these statistics unfold, their ramifications for currencies and economies will influence trading strategies.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade (Aug) | 2025-10-02 01:30:00 | 7.31B | 6.2B | High |
๐ฃ๏ธ The absence of actual trade balance data maintains uncertainty around Australia's external economic performance. The anticipated decrease, if realized, may suggest weaker export strength affecting the AUD.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 14:00:00 | 48.7 | 49.1 | 49 | 0.4 | High |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 13:45:00 | 53 | 52 | 52 | -1 | High |
| ADP Employment Change (Sep) | 2025-10-01 12:15:00 | -3K | -32K | 50K | -29K | High |
๐ The uptick in ISM PMI slightly mitigates concerns, signaling a modest recovery in manufacturing. Nonetheless, S&P's PMI reading and the disappointing ADP data indicate potential challenges, which could weigh on the USD.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 13:30:00 | 48.3 | 47.7 | 48 | -0.6 | High |
๐ With manufacturing PMI slipping below expectations, concerns grow about the sector's health, likely exerting pressure on the CAD.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 09:00:00 | 129.31 | 129.42 | 129.4 | 0.11 | High |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Sep) | 2025-10-01 09:00:00 | 2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2 | High |
| HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 08:00:00 | 50.7 | 49.8 | 49.5 | -0.9 | High |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 07:45:00 | 50.4 | 49 | 50 | -1.4 | High |
๐ Inflation rates exceed estimates, potentially intensifying ECB policy actions. However, the weakening PMI in several regions raises alarms, likely affecting EUR stability.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 08:30:00 | 47 | 46.2 | 46.2 | -0.8 | High |
๐ The decline in PMI underlines ongoing manufacturing struggles in the UK, likely putting downward pressure on the GBP.
| Event | Date (NY) | Previous | Actual | Estimate | Change | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| procure.ch Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 2025-10-01 07:30:00 | 49 | 46.3 | 48 | -2.7 | High |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | 2025-10-01 06:30:00 | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | 0.2 | High |
| Retail Sales YoY (Aug) | 2025-10-01 06:30:00 | 0.9% | -0.2% | 0.5% | -1.1 | High |
๐ Weakening PMI suggests reduced growth momentum in Swiss manufacturing, alongside disappointing retail sales figures, potentially weakening CHF.
The current economic data reveals mixed impacts across currencies. While the USD and EUR face both supportive and adverse conditions, the AUD, CAD, GBP, and CHF appear to be under pressure due to weaker-than-expected economic indicators.