December 30, 2025 a 02:31 am
📊 Important Key Figures of the last few Days
Over the last few days, the economic calendar featured several high-impact events in both the US and European markets. Despite the end-of-year lull, attention was drawn towards significant metrics like the FOMC Minutes and European Retail Sales trends. These figures, although partially missing actuals, offer a glimpse into the economic health and potential fiscal adjustments in the weeks to come.
🗣️ US Economic Indicators
| Event | Previous Value | Estimate | Actual | Economic Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC Minutes | N/A | N/A | N/A | The FOMC Minutes hold high importance, as they provide insight into the Federal Reserve's future interest rate paths and monetary policy adjustments. | Without the actual figures, the impact on USD remains speculative, with analyst focus likely on the tone regarding economic resilience amid inflationary pressures. |
| Goods Trade Balance (Nov) | N/A | -86 | N/A | The Goods Trade Balance provides critical insights into trade flows and international demand for US goods. A deficit could indicate strong import levels, impacting GDP. | An expected deficit would traditionally lead to a weakening USD as it reflects domestic economic leakage. However, specifics depend on further trade context. |
📈 European Economic Indicators
| Event | Previous Value (%) | Estimate (%) | Actual (%) | Economic Interpretation | EUR Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales YoY (Nov) - Spain | 3.8 | 3.6 | N/A | YoY Retail Sales indicate consumer spending health, a core economic driver. Lower than estimated sales can signal weakening consumer confidence. | Possible weakening for the EUR, as consumer spending drives significant portions of GDP. |
| Retail Sales MoM (Nov) - Spain | 0.0 | 0.4 | N/A | MoM growth is crucial for short-term economic momentum. An increase could suggest a positive turnaround in consumer activity, post-pandemic. | A potentially stronger EUR if actual increases meet or exceed estimates. |
✅ Conclusion
The available data points present ambiguity due to the absence of actual outcomes, placing economic focus on projected trends. In the absence of definitive data, existing estimates suggest a cautious yet unsteady outlook for the USD. Given the projected trade deficits and uncertainties surrounding the FOMC's stance, current indicators present a moderately burdened perspective for the US Dollar's strength.