December 09, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the last few Days
The recent economic indicators from both the U.S. and the European zone exhibit a mixed picture. While some metrics like consumer sentiment in the U.S. are showing improvement, inflationary concerns persist with still subdued spending levels. The labor market remains strong, but further clarity will be necessary as more data is released. Overall, there's a balanced outlook which could have varying impacts on both the USD and EUR.
📊 Employment Indicators
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOLTs Job Openings (Oct) | 7.227M | 7.0M | N/A | N/A | Data pending for assessment | No immediate effect |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 29) | 218K | 220K | 191K | -27K | Lower claims point to a strong labor market | Potential USD strength |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Nov 22) | 1943K | 1960K | 1939K | -4K | Continuing claims are slightly lower than expected | Supportive for USD |
🛍️ Inflation and Spending
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal Spending MoM (Sep) | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.2% | Spending growth slowed, indicating caution among consumers | Neutral to slightly negative impact |
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | -0.1% | Slight decline in the inflation measure, easing pressure on prices | Potentially beneficial for USD |
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0% | Inflation remains steady, Fed's targets are within reach | Supportive for USD |
🗣️ Consumer Sentiment
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Dec) | 51 | 52 | 53.3 | +2.3 | Rising sentiment suggests increased consumer optimism | Positive for USD |
🌍 European Zone Update
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on EUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU Retail Sales YoY (Oct) | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | +0.3% | Increasing sales reflect consumer resilience | Supportive for EUR |
| EU Employment Change YoY (Q3) | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0% | Stable employment levels | Neutral impact on EUR |
📈 Conclusion
Overall, the data indicates a strengthening U.S. labor market with positive signals from consumer sentiment, which could favorably impact the USD. Inflation appears to be moderating slightly, providing some relief. The European data shows resilience, notably in retail sales, which could offer support to the EUR but remains largely neutral in the short term. On balance, the current economic indicators are moderately supportive for the USD.