November 25, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the Last Few Days
Over the past few days, the economic landscape has been shaped by crucial data releases from both the US and European regions. Key metrics such as PMI, consumer confidence, and job market indicators have painted a complex picture of the economic health, with notable implications for the USD and EUR. The data reflects a mixture of stability and challenges, which will be explored in detail below.
📊 Consumer and Business Climate Indicators
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB Consumer Confidence (Nov) | 94.6 | – | – | The absence of new data leaves uncertainty. A decrease could signal weakening consumer spending. | Potential weakening of USD if consumer outlook dims. |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov) | 53.6 | 51 | -2.6 (-4.85%) | Sentiment declined, indicating consumer caution, potentially dampening spending. | Negative impact on USD due to possible decrease in consumer expenditure. |
| Ifo Business Climate (Nov) | 88.4 | 88.1 | -0.3 (-0.34%) | Decrease suggests a less optimistic business outlook in Germany. | Minimal direct impact on USD; continued Eurozone weaknesses could support USD strength. |
🗣️ Employment and Jobless Claims
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non Farm Payrolls (Sep) | -4K | 119K | 123K (3075%) | Significant increase suggests strong job growth, boosting economic confidence. | Positive for USD as employment strengthens economic outlook. |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg (Oct/11) | 227.5K | 224.5K | -3K (-1.31%) | Continued decrease indicates a tightening labor market. | Supportive of USD as fewer claims suggest economic strength. |
📈 PMI and Production Data
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Services PMI (Nov) | 54.8 | 55 | 0.2 (0.37%) | Slight improvement in services sector; indicative of sustained economic activity. | Marginally positive for USD due to services expansion. |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 52.5 | 51.9 | -0.6 (-1.14%) | Decline suggests slowing manufacturing activity. | Possible dampening effect on USD due to manufacturing slowdown. |
📉 Inflation and Price Indicators
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Producer Price Index MoM (Sep) | -0.1% | – | – | Lack of new data; potential to influence inflation expectations. | Uncertainty could lead to volatility in USD. |
✅ Conclusion
The recent figures present a mixed picture for the USD. Positive job market data and stable service sector performance are supportive of the USD. However, declining consumer sentiment and manufacturing slowdown pose concerns. Overall, the combination of strong labor metrics and slightly improved PMI tempers the impacts of consumer and business uncertainty, making the current environment moderately supportive for the USD in the short term.