November 13, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the last few Days
The past few days have been dominated by high-impact economic indicators from the US, including jobless claims and inflation data, alongside key European sentiment metrics. Notably, the lack of actual data and strong forecasters' estimates indicate a cautious stance from economists given the uncertain environment. These factors contribute to a nuanced outlook for the US dollar, with potential implications for its strength depending on realized economic conditions.
📊 US Jobless Claims Overview
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/25) | — | 249 | — | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Nov/01) | — | 259 | — | High |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Nov/01) | — | 1967 | — | High |
Interpretation: The lack of actual data reflects ongoing uncertainty in the labor market. If estimates hold, a stable but cautious labor environment is suggested. This scenario puts moderate pressure on the USD due to potential future policy adjustments by the Federal Reserve.
📈 Inflation Metrics in the US
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI s.a (Oct) | 324.368 | 325.02 | — | High |
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Oct) | 0.2% | 0.3% | — | High |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Oct) | 3% | 3% | — | High |
Interpretation: Stable inflation expectations align with previous forecasts, indicating no immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to alter interest rates significantly. This stable inflation scenario suggests a neutral to slightly positive outlook for the USD.
🗣️ European Sentiment Indicators
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Impact | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Nov) | 39.3 | 40 | 38.5 | High | -0.8 |
Interpretation: The drop in the ZEW Index suggests a deterioration in economic expectations in Germany, potentially leading to a weaker Euro if this trend continues, which might indirectly support a stronger USD in relative terms.
Conclusion
Overall, the prevailing uncertainty and reliance on estimates underscore cautious optimism regarding the US economic outlook. While US labor and inflation data remain in line with stable estimates, European sentiment exhibits signs of weakness, contributing to a marginally supportive environment for the USD. ✅