September 30, 2025 a 02:32 am
Important Key Figures of the last few Days
In the past few days, significant economic indicators have provided insights into the current state of both the U.S. and European economies. The U.S. has seen a mix of positive and negative developments, with notable data points such as GDP growth surpassing expectations. Meanwhile, European inflation data and manufacturing PMI have highlighted ongoing challenges. These figures are crucial for understanding potential impacts on the respective currencies and economic policies.
📊 U.S. Economic Developments
GDP and Trade Balance
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2) | -0.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | The substantial increase in GDP growth indicates a robust economic recovery in Q2, driven by stronger consumer spending and business investments. | Likely positive for the USD, as strong GDP growth can attract foreign investors and support the currency. |
| Goods Trade Balance (Aug) | -$102.8B | -$85.5B | $17.3B | Improvement in the trade balance suggests a reduction in the trade deficit, which is favorable for the U.S. economy. | This could strengthen the USD, as a narrower trade deficit often boosts investor confidence. |
Employment and Consumer Sentiment
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation | Impact on USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep) | 58.2 | 55.1 | -3.1 | The decline in consumer sentiment indicates reduced consumer confidence, potentially impacting consumer spending negatively in the near term. | Negative for the USD, as lower consumer confidence could signal weaker future economic performance. |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Sep/20) | 232K | 218K | -14K | A drop in jobless claims suggests an improving labor market, with fewer people seeking unemployment benefits. | Positive for the USD, as it indicates economic strength and stability in employment. |
🗣️ European Economic Indicators
Inflation and Retail Sales
| Event | Country | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate YoY (Sep) | France | 0.9% | 1.3% | +0.4% | Rising inflation could indicate increased cost pressures, potentially affecting consumer purchasing power. |
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | Spain | -0.4% | 0.4% | +0.8% | The increase in retail sales suggests stronger consumer demand, which is positive for economic activity. |
Manufacturing and Employment
| Event | Country | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | Austria | 49.1 | 47.6 | -1.5 | A decline in Manufacturing PMI indicates contraction in the sector, reflecting potential challenges in production demand. |
| Unemployment Rate (Sep) | Germany | 6.3% | N/A | - | Stable unemployment rates imply consistent labor market conditions, crucial for economic stability. |
Conclusion
The recent economic indicators illustrate a mixed landscape for both the U.S. and European regions. The U.S. data suggest overall positive economic momentum, particularly with strong GDP growth and improvements in the trade balance. However, consumer sentiment has weakened, which poses a risk if this trend continues. In Europe, inflation remains a concern, but some countries have seen upticks in retail sales, signaling consumer resilience. Taken together, these figures indicate that the current indicators are generally supportive of the USD, primarily due to robust U.S. economic growth overshadowing the mixed signals from consumer sentiment and ongoing challenges in Europe.