September 11, 2025 a 02:31 am
📊
📉
🗣️
✅
⚠️
Important Key Figures of the Last Few Days
The recent economic data releases highlight significant shifts in both the US and European markets. While inflation metrics in the US remain a critical area of focus, the European Central Bank's decisions on interest rates are setting the tone across the Atlantic. Job market indicators in the US are also under scrutiny, contributing to the overall economic outlook that could affect currency valuations, including the USD and EUR.
Inflation Indicators
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI s.a (Aug) | 322.13 | 323 | n/a | n/a | High | Indicates continuing inflationary pressure. No impact yet on USD due to pending data. |
| Inflation Rate MoM (Aug) | 0.2% | 0.3% | n/a | n/a | High | Potential rise in inflation noted; watchfulness on purchasing power and USD. |
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 3.1% | 3.1% | n/a | n/a | High | Stability in core rates provides relief; supportive sign for USD strength. |
Production and Prices
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Producer Price Index MoM (Aug) | 0.7% | 0.3% | -0.1% | -0.8% | High | Unexpected deflation in PPI suggests easing cost pressures; potential weakening of USD if trend persists. |
Job Market Insights
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Aug/30) | 1940K | 1950K | n/a | n/a | High | Rising claims could signal weakening labor market; may exert pressure on USD. |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Sep/06) | 231K | 232K | n/a | n/a | High | Stability seen; minimal immediate impact on USD but caution advised. |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Sep/06) | 237K | 235K | n/a | n/a | High | Slightly lower than previous; positive for USD short term if consistent. |
European Central Bank Updates
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB Interest Rate Decision | 2.15% | 2.15% | n/a | n/a | High | Steady rates imply a non-disruptive stance; neutral for EUR/USD dynamics currently. |
Trade Balance Insights
- Event: Balance of Trade (Jul)
- Previous: €15.4B
- Actual: €14.7B
- Change: -€0.7B
- Impact: High
- Interpretation: Shrinking trade surplus highlights export challenges; potential EUR pressure could lessen USD's strength.
Conclusion
Overall, the mixed economic signals present challenges and opportunities for the US Dollar. While inflation shows signs of stability, drawbacks in the Producer Price Index and potential labor market issues pose risks. Economic steadiness in Europe adds a layer of complexity. In summary, the current data is cautiously supportive of the USD but demands vigilance for emerging trends that might tilt the balance.