July 22, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the last few Days
The past few days have delivered significant economic data that offers a comprehensive view into the US economic trajectory. Notable gains in consumer sentiment alongside stronger-than-expected retail sales suggest robust consumer confidence and spending. The housing market has shown resilience as well, reflecting a healthy economic foundation. Meanwhile, favorable jobless claims data hints at a steady labor market. These indicators collectively point towards a supportive environment for the USD, albeit with vigilant monitoring required for incoming inflation data.
Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment 📊
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul) | 60.7 | 61.8 | +1.1 | Increased consumer confidence indicates greater willingness for spending, bolstering the US economy. |
| Retail Sales MoM (Jun) | -0.9% | 0.6% | +1.5% | Strong rebound in retail sales suggests robust economic activity and could strengthen the USD. |
| Retail Sales YoY (Jun) | 3.3% | 3.9% | +0.6% | Year-over-year growth in retail sales points to sustained consumer demand, positively impacting the USD. |
| Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jun) | -0.2% | 0.5% | +0.7% | Excluding auto sales, retail performance remains strong, which supports USD appreciation. |
Housing Market and Job Claims 📈
| Event | Previous | Actual | Change | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Housing Starts (Jun) | 1.263M | 1.321M | +0.058M | Growth in housing starts indicates a robust construction sector, potentially supporting real estate-linked markets. |
| Building Permits (Jun) | 1.394M | 1.397M | +0.003M | Slight increase in permits suggests a steady outlook for future housing supply. |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/12) | 228K | 221K | -7K | A decrease in initial claims indicates improving labor market conditions, supporting consumer spending. |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jul/05) | 1954K | 1956K | +2K | Minimal change in continuing claims suggests a stable job market with no significant distress signals. |
Inflation Insights and Fed Focus 🗣️
| Event | Actual | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Chair Powell Speech | N/A | High | Awaiting insights from the speech which could influence USD through future monetary policy signals. |
| EU CPI (Jun) | 129.1 | High | EU inflation data could impact import-export dynamics and influence USD-euro exchange rates. |
Conclusion ✅
The recent data indicate a strengthened US economy marked by increased consumer sentiment and retail activity, along with a resilient housing market. Positive job market signals further bolster economic confidence. Unless the Fed signals a drastic change, the macroeconomic environment appears supportive for the USD. However, inflationary pressures within the EU could introduce exchange rate volatility.