June 26, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the last few Days
In the past week, significant economic indicators have been released for both the US and European markets. The data reveals mixed signals with some optimism in industrial performance, yet concerns persist related to consumer sentiment and trade balances. The implications for the USD remain nuanced, influenced by a tapestry of economic signals that offer both bullish and bearish prospects.
📊 US Economic Indicators
🛠️ Durable Goods and Trade
| Indicator | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goods Trade Balance (May) | -87.62B | -88.5B | Data Pending | Data Pending | High | Trade deficits can pressure USD due to increased supply of currency for imports. |
| Durable Goods Orders MoM (May) | -6.3% | 8.5% | Data Pending | Data Pending | High | An increase could suggest economic resilience, supporting the USD. |
| Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM (May) | -7.5% | 4.3% | Data Pending | Data Pending | High | Ex-defensive order increase can imply private sector investment strength. |
🏠 Housing Market
| Indicator | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Home Sales (May) | 0.722M | 0.69M | 0.623M | -0.099M | High | A decline in new home sales can indicate potential economic slowdown. |
| Existing Home Sales MoM | -0.5% | -1.3% | 0.8% | +1.3% | High | Unexpected growth suggests housing resilience, potentially supporting the USD. |
🗣️ Chairman Speeches and Market Sentiment
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Chair Powell Testimony | — | — | Data Pending | — | High | Insights from testimony could impact USD through interest rate expectations. |
📉 European Economic Indicators
🏭 Manufacturing and Services PMIs
| Country | Indicator | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Impact | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | Ifo Business Climate (Jun) | 87.5 | 88.2 | 88.4 | +0.9 | High | Positive sentiment suggests economic confidence, may pressure the EUR/USD. |
| France | HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | 49.8 | 50 | 47.8 | -2 | High | Contraction indicates manufacturing challenges, potentially bearish for EUR. |
🗣️ ECB Speeches
- ECB Guindos Speech: Details pending. Speeches can guide EUR trends based on policy insights.
✅ Conclusion
The overall economic indicators present a mixed picture for the USD. Stronger than expected housing market data points to economic resilience, but uncertainties in durable goods orders and potential interest rate implications from Fed testimonies caution for volatility. The indicators suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for the USD, with data supporting a slightly bullish stance.