May 13, 2025 a 02:31 am
Important Key Figures of the Last Few Days
The past week has seen significant economic indicators released, highlighting trends in inflation and employment, crucial for understanding the health of the US economy. With global economic conditions in flux, such data may provide insight into future monetary policy actions, particularly concerning the Federal Reserve's stance. Additionally, European figures reveal shifting sentiments that could impact market expectations.
📊 Inflation Dynamics and Projections
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI s.a (Apr) | 319.615 | 320.6 | Null | Null | The absence of an actual figure limits current analysis but suggests expected gradual inflation increases. | Potential USD weakening if inflation rises significantly above estimates. |
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Apr) | 0.1% | 0.3% | Null | Null | Core inflation stability suggests sustained consumer spending, crucial for economic growth. | Moderate USD strength is anticipated if inflation control remains evident. |
| Inflation Rate YoY (Apr) | 2.4% | 2.4% | Null | Null | An unchanged annual inflation rate indicates steady price levels. | Neutral impact unless unexpected deviations occur. |
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Apr) | 2.8% | 2.8% | Null | Null | Consistent with long-term targets, aiding predictability in economic planning. | Reinforces USD stability in the global markets. |
| CPI (Apr) | 319.799 | 320.86 | Null | Null | Awaited data to confirm inflation trajectory correlating with monetary policy adjustments. | USD volatility may increase based on released data. |
🗣️ Labor Market Insights
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | USD Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Apr/26) | 1,908K | 1,890K | 1,879K | -29K | Decline in claims signals improving labor market conditions. | Positive for USD as employment strengthens. |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (May/03) | 226K | 230K | 227K | 1K | Minimal variations suggest resilience in employment levels. | Likely supports USD stability. |
| Initial Jobless Claims (May/03) | 241K | 230K | 228K | -13K | Reduction aligns with healthy job market trends. | Strengthens USD outlook with positive job additions. |
🇪🇺 European Economic Indicators
| Event | Previous | Estimate | Actual | Change | Interpretation | EUR Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (May) | -14 | 13.7 | Null | Null | Market optimism expected, pending release to affirm recovery outlook. | EUR might experience volatility dependent on confirmed data. |
| Balance of Trade (Mar) | 18B EUR | 19.1B EUR | 21.1B EUR | 3.1B EUR | Increased surplus strengthens the Eurozone's external position. | Positive outlook for EUR, encouraging further gains against USD. |
Conclusion
✅ Overall, the indicators present a cautiously optimistic view for the USD. Labor market data boosts economic confidence, whereas inflation figures pending release add uncertainty but do not currently indicate disruptive shifts. The reinforced employment figures are supportive, suggesting a stable or strengthening USD unless inflation surprises upwards.