January 26, 2026 a 07:31 am

FANG: Dividend Analysis - Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Diamondback Energy, Inc. Analysis Image

Diamondback Energy, Inc. presents a complex yet intriguing dividend profile. While the company offers a stable dividend history with an 8-year streak, recent indicators of a potential suspension in 2025 suggest a need for cautious optimism. The dividend yield of 2.77% sits comfortably within industry standards, yet attention must be paid to the concerning payout ratios, particularly the high free cash flow-based payout ratio. This analysis explores these elements to guide investors in understanding the long-term dividend sustainability and profitability of Diamondback Energy.

📊 Overview

Diamondback Energy operates within the energy sector, offering a current dividend yield of 2.77%. Its dividend history spans 8 years, showcasing a reliable payout rhythm, although it last faced a cut or suspension in 2025, challenging its continuity amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Metric Value
Sector Energy
Dividend Yield 2.77%
Current Dividend Per Share 7.39 USD
Dividend History 8 years
Last Cut or Suspension 2025

🗣️ Dividend History

Analyzing the dividend history is vital in assessing a company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. Consistency in dividend payments reflects on a firm's cash flow robustness and earnings predictability. However, recent trends, including a cut or suspension, can signal shifts in corporate strategy or market conditions.

Historical Dividend Chart
Year Dividend Per Share (USD)
2025 4.00
2024 8.29
2023 7.99
2022 8.96
2021 1.75

📈 Dividend Growth

Dividend growth is a crucial measure of a company's financial health and sustainability. It indicates the potential for future income increase for shareholders. However, Diamondback has reported a marginal negative growth over the 3-year interval and a moderate steady growth over 5 years, suggesting mixed long-term prospects.

Time Growth
3 years -0.24%
5 years 0.22%

The average dividend growth is 0.22% over 5 years. This shows moderate but steady dividend growth.

Dividend Growth Chart

📉 Payout Ratio

The payout ratio is a critical indicator of dividend sustainability. A high payout ratio means less reinvestment into growth opportunities. While Diamondback's EPS payout ratio is reasonable at 51.1%, the remarkably high 484% free cash flow-based payout ratio signals potential cash flow constraints that need a review of dividend policies.

Key figure Ratio
EPS-based 51.10%
Free cash flow-based 484%

The EPS-based payout ratio of 51.10% is sustainable yet concerning compared to the exceedingly high FCF-based payout of 484%, which indicates potential liquidity pressure.

✅ Cashflow & Capital Efficiency

Understanding the efficiency of capital allocation and cash flow generation is pertinent in evaluating Diamondback's operational efficiency. The metrics reflect on the company's ability to generate cash and invest strategically, impacting stakeholder returns.

Metric 2024 2023 2022
Free Cash Flow Yield -15.36% 4.32% 11.23%
Earnings Yield 9.54% 11.26% 18.16%
CAPEX to Operating Cash Flow 183.8% 79.63% 57.12%
Stock-based Compensation to Revenue 0.59% 0.65% 0.57%
Free Cash Flow / Operating Cash Flow Ratio -83.80% 20.37% 42.88%

The cash flow and capital allocation metrics illustrate a company with fluctuating cash flow yields. The high CAPEX to cash flow ratio in 2024 raises concerns about capital efficiency and future cash sufficiency.

⚠️ Balance Sheet & Leverage Analysis

Analyzing the balance sheet and leverage shows the financial robustness and solvency of Diamondback. The company's debt metrics are indicative of its borrowings strategy and long-term financial commitments.

Metric 2024 2023 2022
Debt-to-Equity 0.33 0.41 0.43
Debt-to-Assets 0.18 0.23 0.24
Debt-to-Capital 0.25 0.29 0.30
Net Debt to EBITDA 1.49 1.01 0.86
Current Ratio 0.62 0.77 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.41 0.74 0.77
Financial Leverage 1.78 1.74 1.75

The slight increases in leverage ratios warrant a focus on control measures to manage the debt load effectively over the coming years.

📈 Fundamental Strength & Profitability

The profitability measures offer insight into the company’s ability to generate profit per shareholder equity, assets and more. Margins reveal how well a company converts sales into earnings.

Metric 2024 2023 2022
Return on Equity 8.85% 18.91% 29.22%
Return on Assets 4.96% 10.84% 16.73%
Net Margin 30.28% 37.69% 45.85%
EBIT Margin 43.45% 53.04% 61.51%
EBITDA Margin 69.30% 73.98% 75.56%
Gross Margin 45.11% 57.54% 70.05%
Research & Development to Revenue 0% 0% 0%

Diamondback's profitability metrics highlight a robust margin structure, but the recent dip in ROE over 2024 needs strategic growth initiatives.

💹 Price Development

Price Development Chart

🤝 Dividend Scoring System

An individualized scoring system evaluating critical dividend features:

Criteria Score Score Bar
Dividend Yield 3.5
Dividend Stability 3
Dividend Growth 2.5
Payout Ratio 3
Financial Stability 4
Dividend Continuity 2
Cashflow Coverage 2
Balance Sheet Quality 4
Overall Score: 24/40

💬 Rating

The dividend profile of Diamondback Energy, Inc. requires careful consideration. While the yield and stability present current strengths, potential future risks like high payout ratios and recent dividend cuts weigh heavily. Investors should monitor the company's strategic adjustments and market conditions to gauge the sustainability of dividends. Balancing these factors, investors are advised to approach with moderated expectations and consideration of broader diversification strategies.